Introduction

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Figure 1: California Spiny Lobsters off Anacapa Island. Photographer: Ed Bierman.

Figure 1: California Spiny Lobsters off Anacapa Island. Photographer: Ed Bierman.

Data & Methods

Data for California spiny lobster abundance and size along the Santa Barbara Coast, 2012-2018, were collected by the Santa Barbara Coastal Long Term Ecological Research group. Data was collected annually at five long term kelp forest study sites. Two of the sites were located within Marine Protected Areas (Naples and Isla Vista) and three were outside of a MPA (Arroyo Quemado, Mohawk and Carpinteria). Lobsters were counted and sizes estimated visually by divers in late summer before fishing season began. For more information on the methods, see the project metadata.

ADD SOMETHING HERE ABOUT ANALYSIS. Similar to “Mean griffin range area (km2) was compared for pre-dragon (1984 - 2004) and post-dragon (2005 - 2019) periods by two-sample t-tests (α = 0.05 throughout). Trends in Griffin abundance were compared before and after dragon reintroduction by linear regression. All analyses and figures were prepared using R software version 3.6.1.”

Results


1. Annual lobster abundance by site, 2012-2018

Analysis: Figure 2 demonstrates varying trends in lobster abundance among the 5 collection sites. At Isla Vista and Naples, both located within Marine Protected Areas, lobster abundance trends positive after the MPAs were established in 2012. Both MPA sites saw spikes in 2015, and declines in 2016 followed by increases in population. At non-MPA sites, counts are highly variable and characteristics between sites are not shared. At Arroyo Quemado, lobster counts remained relatively stable over the studied time period. At Carpinteria, a major spike in lobster abundance (2017) was followed by a major decline (2018). At Mohawk, a spike in abundance in 2015 gives way to stability into 2018.

Figure 2: Year-over-year change, lobsters counted in 5 Santa Barbara Channel sites, 2012-2018. Annual lobsters counts based on data collected by divers before the start of fishing season in late summer at five sites, two of which (Isla Vista and Naples) are within Marine Protected Areas (MPA). Interactive: double-click on individual site within legend to highlight. Single-click and unclick sites to toggle visibility and compare site data.


2. Lobster size: 2012 to 2018

Analysis: Figure 3 depicts size abundance trends amongst lobsters in 2012 and 2018 at the five collection sites. Both sites that established MPAs in 2012 (Isla Vista and Naples) had more larger lobsters by 2018 than they did when the MPAs were established. Median sizes for Isla Vista lobsters increased from 61 mm to 78 mm, while median sizes for Naples lobsters increased from 70 mm to 80.5 mm.

Lobster sizes at the non-MPA sites stayed relatively stable across the time duration with median sizes not shifting greatly.

Figure 3: Comparison of distribution of sampled lobster size at five sampling sites, 2012 & 2018 Distribution of lobster size at five sampling sites in two different years, 2012 and 2018. Two of the five sites (Isla Vista and Naples) established Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) in 2012. These two sites had more lobsters of larger size in 2018 than in 2012. The other three sites not in MPAs had more consistent size distribution across the two years.


3. Analysis of lobsters in marine protected areas versus non-protected areas

Add description of analysis here.

## 
##  Welch Two Sample t-test
## 
## data:  mpa_size_compare_2012 and non_mpa_size_compare_2012
## t = -3.2516, df = 42.088, p-value = 0.002263
## alternative hypothesis: true difference in means is not equal to 0
## 95 percent confidence interval:
##  -12.234960  -2.864287
## sample estimates:
## mean of x mean of y 
##  67.37500  74.92462
## 
##  Welch Two Sample t-test
## 
## data:  mpa_size_compare_2018 and non_mpa_size_compare_2018
## t = 7.3071, df = 1239.5, p-value = 4.876e-13
## alternative hypothesis: true difference in means is not equal to 0
## 95 percent confidence interval:
##  2.887090 5.006422
## sample estimates:
## mean of x mean of y 
##  77.56672  73.61996
## 
##  Welch Two Sample t-test
## 
## data:  mpa_size_compare_2012 and mpa_size_compare_2018
## t = -4.6879, df = 32.496, p-value = 4.76e-05
## alternative hypothesis: true difference in means is not equal to 0
## 95 percent confidence interval:
##  -14.617486  -5.765954
## sample estimates:
## mean of x mean of y 
##  67.37500  77.56672
## 
##  Welch Two Sample t-test
## 
## data:  non_mpa_size_compare_2012 and non_mpa_size_compare_2018
## t = 1.3343, df = 296.01, p-value = 0.1831
## alternative hypothesis: true difference in means is not equal to 0
## 95 percent confidence interval:
##  -0.6196267  3.2289443
## sample estimates:
## mean of x mean of y 
##  74.92462  73.61996
Year MPA Status Mean (mm) Standard Deviation (mm) Sample Size
2012 MPA 67.37500 12.15425 32
2012 non-MPA 74.92462 12.41412 199
2018 MPA 77.56672 11.70341 1244
2018 non-MPA 73.61996 10.09438 561


Summary


References

Reed D. 2019. SBC LTER: Reef: Abundance, size and fishing effort for California Spiny Lobster (Panulirus interruptus), ongoing since 2012. Environmental Data Initiative. Dataset accessed 10/30/2019.